Kolumnen & Analysen - Archiv ltfutures

The Nemenoff Report - EuroFX, Bonds, Metals, Equities and Grains Lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 13.04.2015
Financials: June Bonds are currently 15 lower at 163’01, 10 Yr. Notes 1.5 lower at 128’24.5 and 5 Yr. Notes unchanged at 120.04. Last week saw poor auction results on the 30 Yr. pushing rates several basis points higher. We remain spread long the 5 Yr./short the 10 Yr. from the 9’02 premium the 10 Yr. level. The spread is currently at 8’20 premium the 10 Yr. and I am looking for profit taking opportunities on further breaks. Grains: May Corn is currently 2’0 lower at 375’0, May Beans 1’0 higher at 952’4 and May Wheat 15’0 lower at 511’4. I am currently on the sidelines, however, I will be a buyer in May Corn in the 368’0 area. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Dollar Steady. Interest Rate Futures higher after Friday’s sharp drop
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 09.03.2015
Financials: June Bonds are currently 26 higher at 156’15, 10 Yr. Notes 6 higher at 126’08 and 5 Yr. Notes3 higher at 118’14.5. On Friday Bonds dropped sharply as a result of the monthly e,mployment report which showed an increase of 295,000 non-farm payrolls, well above the pre-report average guesstimate of 235,000. The unemployment also continued to drop, however average earnings were below estimates. The continued drop in the rate of unemployment and the increase in jobs might just be the impetus the Fed needs to raise rates in the 3rd quarter (July-Sept.). ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Ukraine withdraws troops. Greece seeks loan extension. Jan. FOMC minutes today
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 18.02.2015
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 11 higher at 144’14, 10 Yr. Notes 7 higher at 127’15 and 5 Yr. Notes 4 higher at 119’14. We have covered all short biased naked and spread positions and are currently on the sidelines. Today’s focus will be the FOMC minutes as the market will be looking for language to indicate when a rate hike will take place. For me, Eurodollar futures show that it will be after June. Greece it appears is back at the bargaining table, after walking out yesterday, looking for a loan extension. Does anybody really think these debt will ever be paid back? ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Expanded limits for Cattle today. Equity Markets reaction negative after Jobs Report. Grain Report today
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 12.01.2015
Financials: Mar. Bonds 4 higher at 147’21, 10 Yr. Notes 3 higher at 128’22 and 5 Yr. Notes 3 higher at 120’03. Friday’a Job Report showed an increase in non-farm payrolls of 252,000. Inspite of this economically positive number the market chose to focus more on the slight drop in wages and the situation in France. ... mehr

Morning Softs Comments 01/08/2015
Jack Scoville I Price Group - ltfutures - 08.01.2015
COTTON General Comments: Prices were higher in consolidation trading. Traders are getting ready for the next round of USDA reports on Monday that should show few changes. Trading was calm before the USDA export sales report today. Demand fears returned on weak stock market action and the strong US Dollar. Support is coming from ideas of less production in 2015. Ideas are that producers in the Delta and Southeast could switch at least some área to Soybeans. The market is back into its trading range and acts weak. US and world demand remains low and shows no real signs of improvement. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - S&P near all time high overnight. Wheat lower.
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 19.12.2014
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently unchanged at 143’24, 10 Yr. Notes 3.5 higher at 126’19 and the 5 Yr. Note 3 higher at 118’27.5. All I can do is plant an idea on these markets. I feel that the yield curve is about to steepen and am going to be focusing on the long 10 Yr./ short Bond spread and/or the long 5 Yr./short 10 Yr. spread. Grains: Mar. Corn is currently 5’0 lower at 406’0, Jan. Beans 6’6 lower at 1028’2 and Mar. Wheat 17’2 lower at 638’0. If you went short Wheat yesterday either take profits or use a protective buy stop at 653’4. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Metals rally as Russian Ruble continues to fall
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 10.12.2014
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 6 higher at 143’11, 10 Yr. Notes 3.5 higher at 126’22.5 and the 5 Yr. Notes 2 higher at 118’30. The yield curve has continued to flatten as long term rates continue to drop and Eurodollar rates have had a slight bump up on contracts dated for June 2015 and beyond. Bonds are now getting to a level where my bias is getting negative. I will be a seller above the 144’00 level. Grains: Mar. Corn is currently fractionally higher at 395’2, Jan. Beans 1’4 higher at 1050’6 and Mar. Wheat 4’2 lower at 581’4. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - ECB leaves rates unchanged, market awaits Draghi statements about possible quantitative easing
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 04.12.2014
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 8 higher at 141’16, 10 Yr. Notes 3 higher at 126’12 and 5 Yr. Notes 2 higher at 119’03. A couple of items this morning. Weekly jobless claims were down by 17k, in line with expectations of a 19k drop. The ECB left rates unchanged. It is expected that later this morning Mario Draghi will comment on Europe’s economy and suggest that if needed the ECB will take action to keep rates low in an attempt for stimulus. Earlier in the week we recommended going long Mar. Bonds in the 141’16 area. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Gold and Silver higher after making new lows Sunday evening. Equities lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 01.12.2014
Financials: Mar. Bonds are currently 11 higher at 142’31, 10 Yr. Notes 11 higher at 127’12 and 5 Yr. Notes 7 higher at 119’23. Bonds have rallied since our last Report as Precious Metals and Energies declined after the announcement by OPED that there will not be a cut in Crude Oil production. This once again has ignited fears of very low inflation and/or deflation. As mentioned last week Bonds technically appear to have broken out to the upside. Treat as a trading market between141’16 and 144’06. Grains: Mar. Corn is currently 3’2 lower at 385’4 and Jan. Beans 1’0 higher at 1017’0. Trends remain down. I remain a seller in Mar. Corn in the 395’0 area. ... mehr

Morning Softs Comments 12/01/2014
Jack Scoville I Price Group - ltfutures - 01.12.2014
COTTON General Comments: Futures closed higher, but remain stuck in a trading range. Export demand for US Cotton was stronger as buyers feel prices are very attractive. The best support comes from the USDA marketing loan program as cash values are now blow world rates. That means that producers will most likly put Cotton into the loan program and not on the open market. China might be forced to cut its interest rates again to help its economy, and remains a weak importer of Cotton this year in any case as it works to reduce its own government supplies. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Cattle on fed report shows higher than expected placements
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 24.11.2014
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 11 lower at 141’21, 10 Yr. Notes 5 lower at 126’17 and 5 Yr. Notes2.7 lower at 119’18. On last Friday China lowered key interest rates by up to 40 basis points as Mario Draghi reiterated previous statements that the ECB will do whatever it takes to fight deflation. The obvious effect: A rally in Bonds above the 142’00 level. I am still looking at this market with a bit of skepticism and will continue to treat as a trading affair between 140’08 and 142’28. Grains: Dec. Corn is currently 2’6 lower at 370’0, Jan Beans 11’0 lower at 1028’0 and Dec. Wheat fractionally lower at 546’4. ... mehr

Morning Softs Comments 11/13/2014
Jack Scoville I Price Group - ltfutures - 13.11.2014
COTTON General Comments: Futures closed lower. Futures remain in a trading range on daily and weekly charts, but trends are trying to turn down again. Harvest progress remains good, and ideas are that producers will have to start selling. Producers are not selling as prices are low and the USDA loan support program offers a better deal for them. The weather is good as most US production áreas are now dry and harvesting should be very active. The market remains concerned about overall demand potential and about big world stocks. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Holiday Market Today, Light Volume. Equities on New Highs
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 11.11.2014
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 3 lower at 140’28, 10 Yr. Notes fractionally lower at 126’08 and the 5 Yr. Note unchanged at 119’10.5. I am still looking at the Bonds as a trading affair between 140’06 and 142’28. Volume will be light today as many participants are on the sidelines due to the Veteran’s Day Holiday. We are still watching the long June 2015/short June 2017 Eurodollar spread and expect it to widen over time as it is expected that rates will start to rise 2nd or 3rd quarter 2015. Grains: Dec. Corn is currently fractionally higher at 396’6, Jan. Beans 3’2 higher at 1029’0 and Dec. Wheat 1’6 lower at 515’4. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Equities about steady, Gold and Silver Slightly Lower.
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 03.11.2014
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 3 higher at 141’06, 10 Yr. Notes 1 higher at 126’12.5 and the 5 Yr. Note fractionally lower at 119’13. These vmarkets have been relatively calm over the last 2 sessions given the dramatic moves in the currencies, metals and equities. Continue to treat Bonds as a trading affair between 140’06 and 142’29. Grains: Dec. Corn is currently 3’6 lower at 373’0, Jan .Beans 10’0 lower at 1048’0 and Dec. Wheat 4’2 lower at 528’2. On Friday we cover short positions in Dec. Corn and Nov. Beans. I feel that the fundamental bias remains negative for Corn and Soy and will be looking to reinstate short positions on rallies. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Bank of Japan increases stimulus, Yen and metals slide, Equities surge, Bonds trade lower
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 31.10.2014
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 14 lower at 141’04, 10 Yr. Notes 6 lower at 126’14 and 5 Yr. Notes down 3 at 119’16. Early this morning the Bank of Japan announced it would increase it’s Bond purchases by more than the equivalent of 780 billion dollars (quantitative easing) in an ceffort to stimulate their economy and fight deflation. The U.S. treasuries broke slightly compared to the rally in the Dollar and glodal equities. Trat as a trading affair between 140’06 and 142’29. Grains: Dec. Corn is currently 1’0 lower at 373’0, Nov. Beans 1’2 higher at 1027’0 and Dec. Wheat 3’0 lower at 533’0 If you went short Dec. Corn above 378’0 either take the small profit or use a buy stop just above the overnight high of 375’0 ... mehr

Morning Softs Comments 10/30/2014
Jack Scoville I Price Group - ltfutures - 30.10.2014
COTTON General Comments: Futures higher on follow through buying. The market seems to need to find some producer selling. Producers are not selling as prices are low and the USDA loan support program offers a better deal for them. The weather is good as most US production áreas are now dry and harvesting should be very active. The market remains concerned about overall demand potential and about big world stocks. It expected an improved export sales report today, but overall sales remain generlly por. Plus, Turkey has just announced a dumping investigation for US Cotton as tensions between the two countries continue to rise.. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report: New Ebola case sets back S&P’s. What you need to know about June 2015 Bonds!
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 24.10.2014
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 20 higher at 142’11, 10 Yr. Notes 8 higher at 127’08 and the 5 Yr. Note 4 higher at 120’01.2. Need to know: On Wednesday June Bonds rallied sharply jumping more than 10’00 points to above 151’00, as the rest of the market was more or less unchanged. The June contract now carries a large premium to the Dec. and March contracts which under normal circumstances would be at a discount. Little known up until the contract was open (Wednesday was essentially the first trading day for this contract) the pricing for this contract reflected the change in the basket for the cheapest securities eligible for delivery against the Bond contract. ... mehr

Better than expected earnings reports boost equities. Gold trades above 1250.00.
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 21.10.2014
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 13 lower at 142’22, 10 Yr. Notes 7 lower at 127’19 and the 5 Yr. Note 4 lower at 120’07. These markets have set back from last weeks lofty numbers as equities have had a near 50% correction to the upside from their recent lows due to some surprisingly good earnings (Apple for instance) in spite of the poor out look of others (IBM). To be honest I do not see anything on the horizon for the week and will stay on the sidelines for the next few sessions. Grains: ec. Corn is currently 1’0 lower at 347’2, Nov. Beans 4’0 higher at 948’2 and Dec. Wheat 2’6 higher at 516’2. Corn and Beans continue to trade sideways showing resistace at 360’0 and 960’0 respectively. ... mehr

OPEC Eats Its Own IEA Lowest demand growth since 2009!
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 14.10.2014
The Saudis say get ready for low oil prices as it is survival of the fittest in the OPEC cartel as the International Energy Agency slashes demand growth. Iraq joined Iran and Saudi Arabia in lower crude differentials as the biggest producers in the OPEC cartel have demonstrated that they will not cut production. Saudi Arabia seems to be willing to accept oil prices below $90 per barrel, and even as low as $80, for up to a year or two despite the fact that that price may destroy the economies of some OPEC members like say Venezuela. This comes against a back drop of questionable global demand growth as the International Energy Agency makes a major cut in demand growth expectations. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/14/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 14.10.2014
The Beat Goes On! Good Morning! In the overnight electronic session the Grains continued to rally. Although they are coming off session highs and sellers seem to be wetting their appetite. The December Corn is currently trading at 346 which is unchanged. The trading range has been 349 to 345 ¼ so far. It seems to me the market is setting a bull trap unless Jack Frost sneaks up and starts nipping at our nose which I do not see in the coming days. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - Hedge Fund Liquidation sells off equities
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 14.10.2014
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 20 higher at at 142’21, 10 Yr. Notes 10.5 higher at 127’15.5 and 5 Yr. Notes 5 higher at 120’01. Continued flight to quality in treasuries as Equities set back about 6% over the last couple of weeks. I am willing to sell the 5 Yr. Note above 120’00 (I incorrectly stated my sell level at 125’00 yesterday, my apologies). I will also be willing to go long June 2015/short June 2017 Eurodollar futures below the 172 level premium the 2015 contract (currently at 176). Grains: Dec. Corn is currently 1’2 higher at 347’2, Nov. Beans 12’4 higher at 958’0 and Dec. Wheat 1’2 lower at 504’0. I feel these markets are in resistance and choose to be on the sidelines. ... mehr

The Energy Report - Dollar for Dollar
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 13.10.2014
Iran lowered their oil price to match a drop by Saudi Arabia as a production war may be breaking out. Oil producers desperate to hang unto market share will cut price before production. Of course does OPEC blame a slowing global economy and rising global production for the drop in price? Of course not. The Culprit they say is the oil speculator. Benoit Faucon of the Wall street Journal wrote that "The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on Friday blamed speculation as the main cause of a decline in oil prices, which have fallen to levels not seen since 2010. In its bimonthly bulletin, OPEC said that according to its secretariat, "the actions of speculators are again behind much of the price decline." It said speculators had reduced their net long positions by nearly half in August and said the same players had been behind a sharp increase in prices in June." ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/13/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 13.10.2014
Happy Columbus Day! Good Morning! In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 334 ¼ which is ¼ of a cent higher. The trading range has been 337 ¼ to 330 ½ so far. With today's bank holiday expect light volume which could produce some big corrective swings in the Stock market and the basket of commodities as well. On the Ethanol front there were no trades posted in the overnight electronic session. With continued follow through of cheaper Gas prices the psychology of the Ethanol market should be the same. The November contract settled at 1.597 and is showing 5 bids @ 1.573 and 5 offers @ 1.620. ... mehr

No Signs of Stopping
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 10.10.2014
Oil hits a 2 year low as a shaky global economic picture and signs that OPEC won't cut production are creating a mass exodus. Iran lowered their crude price differentials in a sign that a potential production war might be brewing. If OPEC members continue to cut prices instead of production, it will add even more supply to an already over supplied market. ECB Chief Mario Draghi reinforced fears about the Euro zone as deflationary forces engulf the Euro-Zone. The magnitude of the drop goes beyond just the simple bearish supply fundamentals and is signally perhaps something more ominous about the state of the global economy. Oil many times is the cannery in the coalmine and the bird is nowhere to be seen. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/10/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 10.10.2014
Bears On Steroids! Good Morning! Super Mario is at it again. With a very weak German economy and the rest of the European theatre in bad shape as well Mario Draghi is talking more quantitative easing which means they will print more Euro's like the Fed did in the 2007 banking crisis when Draghi declared it was America's problem and in his shortsighted way continued to raise rates. Now that America is trying to get out of the pressure cooker and taper meaning raising rates we won't be able to do so because that would kill our trading partners economies leaving no one to buy our goods. ... mehr

Fed Blinks Yet Oil Sinks
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 09.10.2014
The Federal Reserve seemed to blink in the staring contest over whether or not they can ignore growth in the rest of the world and raise rates. The FOMC minutes showed that some Fed officials are worried that growth in the U.S. might be slower if foreign economic growth continues to slow. The Fed rightly has taken notice of one of the concerns that I have been harping on that the imbalances between the U.S. and the rest of the world is in danger not only to the U.S. economy but the global economy as well. If rates rise in the U.S. while Germany and the rest of Europe sinks deeper in recession it could trigger a global deflation outbreak that would make Ebola look like a walk in the park. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/09/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 09.10.2014
Natural Gas Storage and the FED Rock the Boat Today Good Morning! This morning we will be busy at 7:30 A.M. with Export Sales, Initial Jobless Claims and Wholesale Trade data to be released. And later at 9:30 we have the weekly EIA Gas Storage inventory data which could change the hearts of sellers minds depending on the injection number. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 341 ½ which is 1 ¾ of a cent lower. The trading range 343 to 340 ¾. Tomorrow's report will be the driving force in the days to come. Don't forget weather! ... mehr

INF Breaks Oil
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 08.10.2014
Oil goes into a downside breakout after the IMF raised concerns about frothy stock markets and weaker economic growth causing a reaction with stimulus moves by Russia and Norway. The IMF also raised concerns about the divergence of the direction of the U.S. and other economies something that I have said is becoming more of an issue. Russia getting hit hard by sanctions and a falling oil price intervened in the Ruble for the third time this month. Norway is also feeling the pain and its right-wing minority government proposed cutting taxes and spending more "oil cash" from the country's sovereign wealth fund to counter the slowdown in economic growth according to a Dow Jones report. This comes as Iran says that they have no intention of cutting production and the American Petroleum Institute reports a build in supply. This comes after weak data in Europe and Asia as the global oil demand outlook is fading fast. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/8/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 08.10.2014
Plains, Trains and Automobiles Good Morning! The title says it all with the reflection of the markets and the global economic cycles we are realizing. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 339 ¾ which is ¾ of a cent lower. The trading range has been 341 ¾ to 337 ½ so far. The Grain complex is hovering and dog-paddling of how much of a rally we can muster before sellers come back into play to find an absolute bottom. Remember we have frost scares with this record crop as inch closer to Friday's Crop Production USDA Supply/Demand report. Let's not miss the boat. ... mehr

Big Deals and Refining
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 07.10.2014
Could a deal, a potential deal, in the mining sector signal that we are close to a bottom in the commodity asset class? News over night that Glencore the mining and commodity trading group made a play for Rio Tinto that would in theory make them the largest mining company in the world. While Rio rejected the deal the stock is rising on word that Glencore is approaching Rio's largest stockholders to try to win support. Many times when these big deals happen it is a sign that the there is a bottom in the offing! We saw that in the bottom in oil back in 1999 when everyone was doing merger deals and when there was a collapse in oil prices. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/07/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 07.10.2014
Grain Rally Stopped In Its Tracks? Good Morning! The initial frost scares and dry weather in Brazil coupled with transportation concerns in South America to move and store the crop. We saw the effect of Brazil's dry weather in the Coffee market yesterday as well. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 330 ¾ which is 1 ¾ of a cent lower. The trading range has been 332 ¾ to 330 ¾ so far. Weather, harvesting and Friday's Crop Production and USDA Supply/Demand reports are key to the market at this time. ... mehr

Listen To What the Dollar Is Saying
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 06.10.2014
When it comes to the recent move down in oil and other commodities I have heard many people say it's just the dollar. Yet to dismiss this as just the dollar fails to grasp what the dollar is trying to say about the global economy and where we are going from here. It represents a total about face from where we were at the beginning of the financial crisis and it signals that around the globe many economies still face struggles that will take its toll on demand. It isn't just the dollar, the dollar is everything. What it represents as a world looking for safe harbor as their economies struggles as the U.S. recovers. The U.S. jobs report blew away expectations as nonfarm payrolls increased by 248,000 jobs last month. We also saw a surprise drop in the unemployment rate 5.9 percent. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/06/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 06.10.2014
Jack Frost Shown His Bitter Face and Sparked Shorts to Lighten Their Load Good Morning! In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 328 which is 4 ¾ cents higher. The trading range has been 329 ¼ to 323 ¼ so far. The spike in prices can be traced to cooler than norm temperatures in places in the mid-west in this harvest season. Another bullish factor is transportation cost in Brazil to move Grains for storage has heighten concerns of what those farmers will be able to do with their product. Do not forget this Friday we have the monthly Crop Production and USDA Supply/Demand data. ... mehr

Barrels on Sale!
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 02.10.2014
Oil prices already under siege from weak economic data got hit harder after Saudi Arabia put barrels on sale! Just as if you owned a store and you could not move enough inventory the best thing to do is to have a sale. 1 dollar off a barrel! Get it while it's hot! The Saudis that have already cut back production are hoping that the Chinese, their biggest customer, will be more enticed to buy oil ahead of winter. Yet for oil it just cemented the fact that there is an oversupply in oil. Of course the Chinese has other things on their mind. With the protests in Hong Kong continuing there are still worries that a crackdown may be coming. Obviously if it comes to that it won't bode well for economic growth or demand growth for oil. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/02/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 02.10.2014
Look Out Below****Volatility in the Markets Good Morning! This morning we have the following reports: Export Sales and Initial Jobless Claims at 7:30 followed with Factory Orders at 9:00 and EIA Gas Storage at 9:30. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 320 which is 1 ¼ of a cent lower. The trading range has been 321 ½ to 319 ¼ so far. Weather should be the overriding factor as supplies seem abundant as we head into next Monday's weekly Crop Progress followed with next Friday's Crop Production and USDA Supply/Demand report. ... mehr

Reasons Why Oil Price Have Fallen
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 01.10.2014
There are 101 reasons why oil has fallen as hard as it has, hitting a 2 year low. The main reason in the back of it all is US oil production. Yet after a substantial drop out of the normal expected daily trading range my phone rang off the hook wondering why oil has fallen so far. Well there is short term and long term reasons and we will try to cover some of them in no particular order. 1. Rising US Oil Production: I have already mentioned that the main reason behind the drop is the U.S. oil producer. The fracking revolution has changed this market in ways that few could have imagined just a few years ago. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 10/01/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 01.10.2014
Outlined Against A Blue-Gray October Sky Good Morning! Welcome to the time of year and leaves changing as yesterday's cooler than normal temperatures give way to warmer temperatures today. Which may have harvesting pick up as the farmers work hard in the fields. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 319 which is 1 ¾ cents lower. The trading range has been 320 ¼ to 318 ½ so far. The Grain complex is looking to forge a bottom but buyers beware. On the Ethanol front we had a trade posted in the November contract at 1.571 which is .003 of a cent higher in the overnight electronic session. I still believe this market is way overpriced at this juncture. ... mehr

US Oil Exports and Natural Gas Bottom
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 30.09.2014
Holes continue to be poked in the U.S. oil export ban as an abundance of U.S. oil makes it more likely that oil will go elsewhere. Genscape Vesseltracker reported that Alaskan crude oil has been exported outside of the United States since 2004. This is another step in lifting the 1970's oil ban that already has been challenged by U.S. exports of 'condensate' that does not quite fit our traditional definition of what crude oil is. Genscape monitoring data showed that a cargo of Alaskan North Slope crude loaded Sept. 26 at the Alaskan port of Valdez for delivery into the South Korean refining center of Yeosu. Yeosu they say is home to a GS Caltex-operated 775,000 bpd refinery, the world's fourth largest. The vessel, Polar Discovery, is expected to arrive on October 10. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/30/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 30.09.2014
Rain Showers in Northwest and North Bring in Cooler Than Norm Temperatures Today Good Morning! Rains in the Northwest and North are bringing in cooler temperatures for a day and then we warm up on Wednesday. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 325 which ¾ of a cent lower. The trading range has been 326 ¼ to 324 ½ so far. The Grain Complex looks weak in early trade, however we may see a chop in today's action. ... mehr

Artic Windfall
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 29.09.2014
Russia's Rosneft in partnership with Exxon-Mobil corp. announced a massive discovery of a well that may contain close to a billion barrels of oil in Artic! The find could rival the amount of oil in the Gulf of Mexico and already Russia is using this find to try to convince the US to lift sanctions out of this Artic windfall. Rosneft now has a billion reasons why sanctions should be lifted. Bloomberg News reports that the announcement was made by Igor Sechin, Rosneft's chief executive office. The well found about 1 billion barrels of oil and similar geology nearby means the surrounding area may hold more than the U.S. part of the Gulf or Mexico, he said. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/29/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 29.09.2014
Grain Complex Still Looks Weak God Morning! Even with marginal gains in the Wheat and Corn this Complex as a whole has many hurdles to cross to be a good exporter especially with the U.S. dollar compared to week European currencies as they continue quantitative easing. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 324 ¼ which is 1 ¼ of a cent higher. The trading range has been 325 to 322 so far. The complex as a whole is searching for a bottom. ... mehr

Gas U-TURN
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 26.09.2014
The New Era in Low Gas Prices has taken another slight U turn. Just as gas prices were plummeting across the nation refinery problems and a squeeze play may show the march to below $3.00 a gallon across parts of the nation. While the big picture on gas prices is still bearish in the short term refining problems and rumors of issues surrounding the Colonial pipeline caused the soon to expire October RBOB future that had amassed a record short position by money managers to explode. There were many problems both confirmed and unconfirmed. Bloomberg News reported that Exxon Baytown in the gulf coast will keep its shut fluid catalytic cracker 3 and alkylation unit with a capacity of 580.000 barrel per day. ... mehr

The Nemenoff Report - 2nd quarter GDP +4.6% vs. expectations of +4.2%
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - ltfutures - 26.09.2014
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 1 lower at 137’25 settling back from a recent high of 138’07 earlier this morning on the release of 2nd quarter GDP which came in at 4.6%, slightly better than expectations of 4.2%. We remain spread long June 2017/short June 2015 Eurodollar futures, currently trading at 203 premium the June 2015 contract. Take profits below 198 premium the June 2015. Grains: Dec. Corn is currently 1’0 lower at 325’0, Nov. Beans 8’2 lower at 914’4 and Dec. Wheat 4’2 lower at 469’6. Trends remain as these markets search for a reason to find support. Beans make new lows despite positive export news. I’m on the sidelines. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/26/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 26.09.2014
Do the Math or Correlate the Conversion Good Morning! There must be something in the air that shows Ethanol output at six month low while the Grain complex continues to be buried. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 326 which is unchanged. The trading range has been 327 to 325 ½ so far On the Ethanol front this market wants to attract attention with light volume and Corn prices seem to be doomed. In the overnight electronic session the October contract is currently trading at 1.633 which is .028 cents higher. The trading range has been 1.6330 to 1.606 so far. Another huge factor in this market is COST of PRODUCTION… Is it worth it? ... mehr

The Return To $30 a Barrel Oil
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 25.09.2014
While the world starts to understand that behind the evil behind ISIS there is also another element to it, greed. US airstrikes hit mobile oil refineries in Syria that was help fund the terrorist group. Ideology is always best suited when it is being funded with oil and to strike at these mobile units is a step in destroying this ISIS terror threat. That was clear that when they were fighting over the Brega refinery in Iraq they went to great measures to kill people but save the refinery. While the Brent Crude fell hard against the WTI as Libyan oil comes back on line a late surge led by RBOB gasoline as refinery glitches and a larger than expected drop in US crude supply brought the market back. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/25/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 25.09.2014
Global Events are Catching Traders Attention Good Morning! In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 329 ¾ which is ¼ of a cent higher. The trading range has been 330 ¾ to 329 so far. Crazy weather patterns across the continental divide may keep the bears away from the picnic table for now. I still remain focused not to give Yogi Bear another reason to participate in this market; however there is a harsh reality of stocks and carryover that will hold a pall over this market. ... mehr

The Energy Report - Brent Crude
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 24.09.2014
Brent Crude is weighing down the complex as weak comic data in Europe is overshadowing the shock value of airstrikes in Syria. The German IFO Index and the fact that the World Bank is lowering Russia growth prospects make Brent look heavy especially with Libyan oil from its largest oil field back on line. Libyan oil output has risen to 800,000 barrels per day, with the key El Sharara oilfield restarting. The Germany's IFO business confidence tanked falling to 104.7 from 106.3. The IFO economic institute show that the conflict between Ukraine and Russia has taken a toll. The reading was the lowest level since April 2013. ... mehr

Brent Crude
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 24.09.2014
Brent Crude is weighing down the complex as weak comic data in Europe is overshadowing the shock value of airstrikes in Syria. The German IFO Index and the fact that the World Bank is lowering Russia growth prospects make Brent look heavy especially with Libyan oil from its largest oil field back on line. Libyan oil output has risen to 800,000 barrels per day, with the key El Sharara oilfield restarting. The Germany's IFO business confidence tanked falling to 104.7 from 106.3. The IFO economic institute show that the conflict between Ukraine and Russia has taken a toll. The reading was the lowest level since April 2013. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/24/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 24.09.2014
More Bombs Bursting! Good Morning! On the Crude Oil front we are still cyphering a thing from the pat called geo-political risk something we have not seen in sometime. Now we look at political ramifications of bombing terrorist that want to kill us weather we sit we our hands under our bottom or react. Unfortunately, we did not have to react. The law was laid down plain and simple we just need leadership to follow the lead our troops gave them earlier. Last night's API data showed a surprise draw of 6.5 million barrels when we were looking for builds of 2 to 3 million barrels. I believe the EIA inventory data may change the hearts of bullish geo-political bargain hunters. ... mehr

Air Strikes in Syria
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 23.09.2014
Air strikes in Syria and economic data is giving oil and other commodities a ride. Geopolitical risk stories are coming faster that the speed of light so too is evidence that the global economy is stagnating. While manufacturing data in China was better than expected, weaker data in Europe is really disturbing. There is a lot to consider and oil is reacting to the news of the minute. On the geo- political the stakes have been raised in the war against ISIS. The United States along with Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Jordan and Qatar attacked ISIS targets in Syria. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/23/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 23.09.2014
It's Official Autumn Equinox Arrives Today Good Morning! In the overnight electronic session the Corn could not hold Runaround Sue or Turnaround Tuesday so far at this juncture. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 329 ½ which is ¾ of a cent lower. The trading range has been 331 to 327 ¾ so far. I don't see any real change in selling pressure at the moment with the National Weather Service 5 day forecast showing weather is not much of a factor at this point. The only other possibility for higher prices is a short-covering rally. ... mehr

China U Turn
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 22.09.2014
Last week China juiced up their banks with 81 billion in a massive stimulus but don't get used to it. Over the weekend China's Finance Minister Lou Jiwei said that China will not make major policy adjustments due to a change in any one economic indicator. These comments have put a damper on global stock markets and have lowered commodity demand expectations just a week after the market was teased into believing that China has already started to ease. Hey wait a minute, they are already easing? Get ready for a rebound. Dow Jones reported that Speculators added fresh wagers on rising crude-oil prices in the week ended Tuesday, according to CFTC data. Hedge funds, pension funds and others added 10,160 new bets on rising prices and slashed 6,876 bets on falling prices. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/22/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 22.09.2014
Autumn Begins as Grains Continue Trade Lower Good Morning! Talking to farmers in northern states that their corn crop is coming in much better than originally feared. Add that to a record crop coupled with a carryover much higher than expected we will see harvest pressure mode for sure. In the overnight electronic session the December contract is currently trading at 329 ½ which is 2 cents lower. The trading range has been 331 ½ to 329 ¼. On the Ethanol front there was one trade posted in the overnight electronic session and that was in the November contract posted a trade at 1.610 which is .01 cent lower. The market is following the lead of other Energies like Crude Oil, Gasoline and the bearishness in Corn market. ... mehr

Buying OPEC Some Time
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 19.09.2014
France launching airstrikes against ISIS and production issues in Libya and Nigeria may buy the cartel some time before having to mandate production cuts. OPEC is feeling the pain of lower prices and Saudi Arabia has already reduced production yet is seems that with demand faltering and the dollar rising prices look to continue lower. While some in the cartel like the OPEC Secretary General have talked about production cuts, the fear is that if the cartel does cut it may do little to raise prices and may only succeed in having some countries losing market share. Part of the reason is the fact that the U.S. is producing the most oil since 1986. Yet global turmoil may support things just enough to buy the cartel time before they have to adjust output. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/19/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 19.09.2014
Grains Continue to Slide Good Morning! Talking with farmers across the country and we are both scratching are heads with the cash market versus the futures. The futures for some reason have not found a reason to bounce. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 337 which is 1 ¼ cents lower. The trading range has been 338 ¼ to 336 ¾ so far. On the Ethanol front the October contract posted a trade at 1.681 which is .019 cents higher and was the only trade posted in the overnight electronic session. Even after yesterday's selloff I believe this market is still too heavy. ... mehr

The Energy Report - 6 Degrees of Interest Rate Separation
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 18.09.2014
6 degrees of separation is the theory that everyone and everything is six or fewer steps away, by way of introduction, you can be connected to any other person in the world. It kind of works that way in interest rates as well. What the fed does will impact at least 6 other countries and impact the price of every commodity on the globe. The Fed and the ECB is dominated the mood of energy as currency fluctuations and rate expectations and its potential impact on demand dominated the trading. The soaring dollar seemed to taunt the Fed as the talk about possible rate increases in the future overshadowed the rates low for a " considerable time" comment and highlighted the interest rate divide between the U.S. and Europe. ... mehr

6 Degrees of Interest Rate Separation
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 18.09.2014
6 degrees of separation is the theory that everyone and everything is six or fewer steps away, by way of introduction, you can be connected to any other person in the world. It kind of works that way in interest rates as well. What the fed does will impact at least 6 other countries and impact the price of every commodity on the globe. The Fed and the ECB is dominated the mood of energy as currency fluctuations and rate expectations and its potential impact on demand dominated the trading. The soaring dollar seemed to taunt the Fed as the talk about possible rate increases in the future overshadowed the rates low for a " considerable time" comment and highlighted the interest rate divide between the U.S. and Europe. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/18/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 18.09.2014
Grains Still in a Lull Good Morning! In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 340 ¼ which is 1 ½ cents lower. The trading range has been 341 ¾ to 340 so far. The market needs some bullish headline to bring in buyers as we head into Autumn next week. On the Ethanol front the October contract is currently trading at 1.710 which is .001 of a cent higher in the overnight electronic session. The trading range has been 1.710 to 1.680 in a market where volume seems to be slowly picking up. ... mehr

The New Phases of the Business Cycle
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 17.09.2014
There is a new phase to the business cycle. Trough, leak information, then print money and modest revovery... Yesterday commodities and stocks came alive after the Wall Street Journal leaked that the Federal Reserve most likely maintains its "considerable time" language in its policy statement. Oil was already in rally mode as OPEC warned of a production cut. I guess the FED must think it is bad form to steal the thunder from China that joined Europe in some QE trying to stop the slowing have been seeing in its economy. Remember when OPEC used to laugh off the shale oil revolution, well they are not laughing anymore. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/07/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 17.09.2014
Fed Meets Today! Good Morning! In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 341 ½ which is 2 ¼ cents lower. The trading range has been 344 ¼ to 341 ½ so far. Changing weather patterns and cooler overnight temps are a reminder of winter is coming back. We may have a reality check that the Farmer's Almanac predicted of another cold winter. I believe any rally should be sold. On the Ethanol front there were no trades posted in the overnight electronic session. The October contract settled at 1.844 and is currently showing 1 bid @ 1.816 and 1 offer @ 1.862. ... mehr

Shoulder Season
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 16.09.2014
Shoulder season, the weak demand period for oil has hit like a vengeance. The Brent Crude fell against the WTI as the demand outlook for the US looks better than the rest of the world. Not even the fact that the US is dropping Bombs in Iraq on ISIS was enough to give the market a geopolitical bounce in a world that seems to be loaded with oil. Uncertainty surrounding the Scotland Independence votes as well as more sanctions on Russian is reducing the demand outlook in Europe. China's demand outlook got wrecked as well after weak industrial data. As we have said before that sanction on Russia is more of a threat to demand than it is to supply. Supplies that are rising because of raising US oil production. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/16/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 16.09.2014
Turnaround Tuesday! Good Morning! In the overnight electronic the December Corn is currently trading at 348 which is 5 cents higher. The trading range has been 350 ½ to 342 ¼ so far. Cooler than norm temps couple with light rains have enticed buyers back to the market. As we head into the weekend we should see the lower temps moderate and see warmer and dryer weather during the overnight and should be conducive to sell ant rallies at this time. ... mehr

Where Is The Demand Going To Come From?
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 15.09.2014
After Chinas Industrial production number hit 12 year low oil traders have to ask themselves where the demand is going to come from. More worries about a slowing global economy and worries that more sanctions on Russia are going to make things worse is adding to the downward pressure on oil. OPEC countries will also start to feel the pain and will cut back not on production but also investment. In the meantime U.S. exports on condensate continue to rise as the U.S. continues to change the energy landscape. While the threat from ISIS continues to grow the market is feeling that rising U.S. production can offset any potential disunion in the future. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/15/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 15.09.2014
Frost Scares Could Start This Week! Good Morning! Farmers are starting out slow this harvest season being a little behind this early. Warmer temperatures will let them play catch up but that is not in the forecast this week. Below normal temperatures are in the prognosticators sights this week with no real let up until the weekend. The below normal temperatures may insight frost scares in the coming days in Corn growing areas. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 336 ½ which is 2 cents lower. The trading range has been 337 ½ to 335 ¾ so far. Let's see if this market can sustain any rally this week. ... mehr

Geo-Political Swings
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 12.09.2014
Geo-politics are once again providing swings in the petroleum sector. Oil prices originally seemed unfazed by President Obama's speech about going after ISIS but seemed to worry after Russian President Vladimir Putin said that if President Obama wanted to go after ISIS in Syria he would need a UN resolution. There is also concern that the coalition that President Obama was hoping to form with Arab nations are not getting the kind of support that he had hoped. While countries like Saudi Arabia are offering some support it is clear that to defeat ISIS it is going to be up to the United States. Experts are saying that it is unlikely that ISIS can be defeated without boots on the ground, an option that President Obama has taken off the table. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/12/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 12.09.2014
Expectations for Record Harvest & Yields Good Morning! Yesterday's report estimated U.S. Corn growers will harvest 14.395 billion bushels versus last month's forecast of 14.032 billion bushels. Average Corn yields were pegged at a record 171.7 bushels per acre up from last month's estimate of 167.4 per acre. These numbers were supplied by Tennille Tracy and Sarah Portlock of Dow Jones Newswires. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 340 ¼ which is ¾ of a cent lower. The trading range has been 343 ¼ to 340 so far. The market should test 315 before bargain hunters come back to play. ... mehr

The War Two Fronts
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 11.09.2014
While President Obama lays out his plan to fight ISIS, OPEC is fighting a war against a growing oil glut. President Obama addressed the nation yet it is still unclear if the President has a plan or is just trying to protect his legacy. The President says that we will degrade, and ultimately destroy, ISIL yet he talks about coalitions that don't exist and no boots on the ground. The President started the speech by defending his anti-terror credential by reminding us that he " took out Osama bin Laden and much of al Qaeda's leadership in Afghanistan and Pakistan". He reminded us that he targeted al Qaeda's affiliate in Yemen, and recently eliminated the top commander of its affiliate in Somalia. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/11/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 11.09.2014
In Memoriam to all the Brave Heroes who gave their lives 13 years ago Brave Men and Woman in Uniform who fought to Stamp out the Cowardly terror thugs! Grain and Natural Gas Reports Today Good Morning! This morning at 7:30 A.M. we also have Export Sales and Initial Jobless Claims. The Grain market will focus on the 11:00 A.M. Crop Production and USDA Supply/Demand report. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 344 which is 1 ¾ of a cent lower. The trading range has been 345 ½ to 343 ¼ so far. Barring any unforeseen major surprise in the report we should be trading in a sideways to lower mode. ... mehr

The Dominate Dollar
Phil Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 09.09.2014
While the fundamentals for petroleum oil are very weak there is more to the markets recent weakness. You can't ignore the impact of the soaring dollar. Commodities across the board are finding it harder to try to establish support as currencies in Europe continue to get crushed. Not only has the Euro, that has been hit by the ECB bank, quantitated easing but the British Pound Sterling that has been rattled with the possibility of Scottish independence. Even with the positive news from an oil demand standpoint that the EU will delay sanctions on Russia as they try to determine that a cease-fire might hold failed to overcome the strength in the dollar. ... mehr

The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report 09/09/2014
Dan Flynn I Price Group - ltfutures - 09.09.2014
Torrential Rains, Hail, Tornadoes, Possible Frost and Monthly Grain Reports This Week Good Morning! The headline says it all what we will have to bear this week. Tonight heavy rains start and tomorrow torrential downpours are forecasted with hail and the possibility of tornadoes. Frost conditions after the fact may be another bullish factor not to mention the monthly Crop Production and USDA Supply/Demand report. In the overnight electronic session the December Corn is currently trading at 345 ¼ which is 3 cents lower. The trading range has been 348 ¼ to 345 so far in somewhat quiet trade. We could see some fireworks during the open out-cry sessions both today and tomorrow. ... mehr

Aktuelle Kolumnen & Analysen

Wochenausblick: Gedrückte Stimmung
Börse Frankfurt - Indizes - 20.11.2017
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DAX-Analyse: Ermüdungserscheinungen
Admiral Markets - Indizes - 20.11.2017
Der Dax ging am Montagmorgen der vergangenen Handelswoche bei 13.118 Punkten in den vorbörslichen Handel. Er startete damit 7 Punkte unter dem Wochenschluss der Vorwoche und 358 Punkte unter der ersten vorbörslichen Notierung am Montag der Vorwoche. Zwar versuchte der Dax gleich am Montagmorgen den erneuten Ausbruch über die 13.200 Punkte, scheiterte jedoch. Es kam im Nachgang dessen zu einem Rücksetzer unter die 13.000 Punkte. ... mehr

Analyse: DAX mit Wochenschlusskurs unter 13.000 Punkten
Björn Heidkamp I Kagels Trading - Indizes - 20.11.2017
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Wochenvorschau: Volkswirtschaftliche Daten und Unternehmensnachrichten - 47. KW 2017
LYNX Broker - Marktberichte - 20.11.2017
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DAX kämpft gegen die Verluste an – Boden oder neues Tief?
CMC Markets - Marktberichte - 20.11.2017
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Bitcoin und DAX 30 Market Update: Bitcoin - Kauflaune könnte weiter anhalten
DailyFX - Marktberichte - 20.11.2017
Im gestrigen Handelsverlauf erreichte Bitcoin ein neues Allzeithoch. Auf der Plattform Bitfinex verteuerte sich der Kurs bis auf knapp 8.100 US- Dollar. Bereits am Freitag konnte die psychologische Marke von 8.000 US- Dollar durchbrochen werden. Die Hiobsbotschaft über die Implementierung eines Short- Mini- Bitcoin- Futures, welches die Nachrichtenagentur Reuters bereits am Donnerstagabend mitteilte, sorgte für Kaufakzente. ... mehr

Tagesausblick Aktien: DAX: Risiken überwiegen
Helaba Floor Research - Indizes - 20.11.2017
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Tagesausblick Renten/Devisen: PMIs, ifo-Index und US-Auftragseingang im Blick
Helaba Floor Research - Forex - 20.11.2017
Jüngst haben europäische Datenveröffentlichungen der Realwirtschaft positiv überrascht und die die starken Stimmungswerte der letzten Monate bestätigt. Zu nennen ist beispielweise das deutsche BIP-Wachstum, das im Sommer vorläufigen Daten zufolge bei 0,8 % gg. VQ lag. In dieser Woche stehen die Detailschätzungen dazu an, die mit Interesse verfolgt werden. Am Gesamtwachstum dürfte sich aber kaum etwas ändern. Im Mittelpunkt des Interesses dürften daher Stimmungsindikatoren des laufenden Monats sein. ... mehr

Bund Future - Erwartete Trading Range: 162.38 -163.40
Helaba Floor Research - Bonds - 20.11.2017
Nach dem Scheitern der Verhandlungen über einen Koalition aus CDU/CSU, FDP und Grüne ist die politische Zukunft Deutschlands ungewiss. Die SPD hat bereits signalisiert, dass sich für sie die Ausgangslage nicht geändert hat und sie nicht für Koalitionsgespräche zur Verfügung steht. Angela Merkel wird heute den Bundespräsidenten Walter Steinmeier informieren, Neuwahlen scheinen unausweichlich. ... mehr

DAX: Scheitern der Jamaika-Gespräche drückt die Stimmung
IG Markets Research - Marktberichte - 20.11.2017
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