Kolumnen & Analysen - Archiv autochartist.com
Daily Commodities Update: Gold
autochartist.com - Commodities - 10.09.2010
With the 30-minute chart of Gold currently in distribution, confirmed by the four-bar Initial Trend reading, expect exhaustion at the 1250 level. The Channel Down pattern alert is indicating that there will be selling pressure waiting at the upper line of the pattern. The overall trend has been down, despite the recent move higher from 1243, and because prices have not yet been able to rally higher through the resistance of the Channel Down, there is still a bearish trend in intraday Gold. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: AUD/USD
autochartist.com - Forex - 10.09.2010
The 15-minute AUD/USD is still maintaining a slight bullish sentiment as prices on the daily chart test the highs from May. The intraday rally is still maintaining enough buying support to remain above 0.9200 which was tested during the middle of the Friday Asian trading session. Look for the 15-minute Rising Wedge reversal to be bought into after the initial drop and at the Autochartist Forecast between 0.9235 and 0.9222. The short-term intraday uptrend will continue if the top of the Forecast region turns out to be an area of support. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Gold
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 10.09.2010
With the 30-minute chart of Gold currently in distribution, confirmed by the four-bar Initial Trend reading, expect exhaustion at the 1250 level. The Channel Down pattern alert is indicating that there will be selling pressure waiting at the upper line of the pattern. The overall trend has been down, despite the recent move higher from 1243, and because prices have not yet been able to rally higher through the resistance of the Channel Down, there is still a bearish trend in intraday Gold. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: AUD/USD
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 10.09.2010
The 15-minute AUD/USD is still maintaining a slight bullish sentiment as prices on the daily chart test the highs from May. The intraday rally is still maintaining enough buying support to remain above 0.9200 which was tested during the middle of the Friday Asian trading session. Look for the 15-minute Rising Wedge reversal to be bought into after the initial drop and at the Autochartist Forecast between 0.9235 and 0.9222. The short-term intraday uptrend will continue if the top of the Forecast region turns out to be an area of support. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: GBP/CHF
autochartist.com - Forex - 09.09.2010
The downtrend on the daily frame of the GBP/CHF has proven a relentless decline. These types of trends are difficult to buy into on intraday charts due to the overwhelmingly bearish momentum and sentiment. Short-term rallies and bounces are usually sold into, and reflect profit taking rather than a more significant sentiment shift. The Falling Wedge on the 240-minute time frame is an example of a short-term move higher through resistance, at 1.5654 (X); ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Natural Gas
autochartist.com - Commodities - 09.09.2010
After making the low at 3694 and finding buyers willing to support prices above 3700, the overall downtrend on the daily chart of Natural Gas has begun to congest. The bears’ loss of downward momentum does not seem to be much more than a shallow correction, but it is a near-term floor in what has been a month-long move lower. The 60-minute chart shows that intraday congestion is squeezing into a Triangle pattern, with downtrend line resistance waiting at 3868 (B) and uptrend line support at 3801 (A). ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: GBP/CHF
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 09.09.2010
The downtrend on the daily frame of the GBP/CHF has proven a relentless decline. These types of trends are difficult to buy into on intraday charts due to the overwhelmingly bearish momentum and sentiment. Short-term rallies and bounces are usually sold into, and reflect profit taking rather than a more significant sentiment shift. The Falling Wedge on the 240-minute time frame is an example of a short-term move higher through resistance, at 1.5654 (X); ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Natural Gas
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 09.09.2010
After making the low at 3694 and finding buyers willing to support prices above 3700, the overall downtrend on the daily chart of Natural Gas has begun to congest. The bears’ loss of downward momentum does not seem to be much more than a shallow correction, but it is a near-term floor in what has been a month-long move lower. The 60-minute chart shows that intraday congestion is squeezing into a Triangle pattern, with downtrend line resistance waiting at 3868 (B) and uptrend line support at 3801 (A). ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: EUR/USD
autochartist.com - Forex - 08.09.2010
The intraday downtrend on the EUR/USD has taken the pair through the 1.2700 “big figure,” and is now trying to establish resistance there. This ceiling will confirm the resistance of the Falling Wedge pattern on the 15-minute time frame; exhaustion at this level will trigger an Autochartist Retracement/Correction (ARC) short-sell. The expectation for exhaustion comes from the five-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading, which indicates that the near-term market direction is range-bound. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Live Cattle
autochartist.com - Commodities - 08.09.2010
Live Cattle’s 240-minute time frame has consolidated into the narrowing range of a Triangle pattern. Because of the quiet, sideways range (confirmed by the three-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading) wait for a breakout higher through 9950 (X) or breakdown lower through 9740 (Y). Currently, the MACD Histogram reading is very low and nearly flat, which sets up a move to either side of the pattern. One effective way of capitalizing on what could be strong momentum in either direction is to use a conditional order at each side of the Triangle. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: EUR/USD
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 08.09.2010
The intraday downtrend on the EUR/USD has taken the pair through the 1.2700 “big figure,” and is now trying to establish resistance there. This ceiling will confirm the resistance of the Falling Wedge pattern on the 15-minute time frame; exhaustion at this level will trigger an Autochartist Retracement/Correction (ARC) short-sell. The expectation for exhaustion comes from the five-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading, which indicates that the near-term market direction is range-bound. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Live Cattle
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 08.09.2010
Live Cattle’s 240-minute time frame has consolidated into the narrowing range of a Triangle pattern. Because of the quiet, sideways range (confirmed by the three-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading) wait for a breakout higher through 9950 (X) or breakdown lower through 9740 (Y). Currently, the MACD Histogram reading is very low and nearly flat, which sets up a move to either side of the pattern. One effective way of capitalizing on what could be strong momentum in either direction is to use a conditional order at each side of the Triangle. ... mehr
Weekly Forex Update: GBP/USD
autochartist.com - Forex - 07.09.2010
After rally through Channel Up resistance at 1.5750, the daily GBP/USD continued higher to the Autochartist Forecast area from 1.5975 to 1.6098 (F). This resistance area maintained selling pressure on the pair—known as the “cable”—and allowed the bears to push lower and shift market sentiment as prices tested 1.6000, which eventually caused a pullback. The current trend lower is congesting around the 200 period simple moving average, and reflects the sideways market stage in which the daily chart currently finds itself. ... mehr
Weekly Commodities Update: High Grade Copper
autochartist.com - Commodities - 07.09.2010
The uptrend on High Grade Copper began with a Triangle breakout through resistance at 30160 on the daily chart. The subsequent rally carried prices higher to the Autochartist Forecast area between 31295 and 32102 (F). The Forecast was formerly resistance for the move higher, but now that prices have established buying support above this level, the area will now be support. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: EUR/JPY
autochartist.com - Forex - 07.09.2010
The downtrend on the daily chart of the EUR/JPY has been in place since near-term resistance at 140.00 and longer-term resistance at 170.00, which places the beginning of the downtrend at October of 2008. The EUR/JPY has most recently begun to slow the bearish momentum, and the pair has begun to congest between 111.11 and 105.44.
The Falling Wedge is forming within a five-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading, confirming both the slowing bearish momentum and the sideways volatility (due to indecision within the market). ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Heating Oil
autochartist.com - Commodities - 07.09.2010
The intraday chart of Heating Oil saw a sharp rally on September 3, and this bullish sentiment seems to have carried over even as momentum has slowed. The 30-minute chart has alerted a Rising Wedge pattern that reflects the rally, but is accompanied by a six-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading. This signals that the trend is at its weakest state. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: EUR/JPY
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 07.09.2010
The downtrend on the daily chart of the EUR/JPY has been in place since near-term resistance at 140.00 and longer-term resistance at 170.00, which places the beginning of the downtrend at October of 2008. The EUR/JPY has most recently begun to slow the bearish momentum, and the pair has begun to congest between 111.11 and 105.44.
The Falling Wedge is forming within a five-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading, confirming both the slowing bearish momentum and the sideways volatility (due to indecision within the market). ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Heating Oil
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 07.09.2010
The intraday chart of Heating Oil saw a sharp rally on September 3, and this bullish sentiment seems to have carried over even as momentum has slowed. The 30-minute chart has alerted a Rising Wedge pattern that reflects the rally, but is accompanied by a six-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading. This signals that the trend is at its weakest state. ... mehr
Weekly Forex Update: GBP/USD
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 07.09.2010
After rally through Channel Up resistance at 1.5750, the daily GBP/USD continued higher to the Autochartist Forecast area from 1.5975 to 1.6098 (F). This resistance area maintained selling pressure on the pair—known as the “cable”—and allowed the bears to push lower and shift market sentiment as prices tested 1.6000, which eventually caused a pullback. The current trend lower is congesting around the 200 period simple moving average, and reflects the sideways market stage in which the daily chart currently finds itself. ... mehr
Weekly Commodities Update: High Grade Copper
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 07.09.2010
The uptrend on High Grade Copper began with a Triangle breakout through resistance at 30160 on the daily chart. The subsequent rally carried prices higher to the Autochartist Forecast area between 31295 and 32102 (F). The Forecast was formerly resistance for the move higher, but now that prices have established buying support above this level, the area will now be support. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: USD/JPY
autochartist.com - Forex - 06.09.2010
On the USD/JPY, the 240-minute time frame could shed some light on the range-bound price action. Despite making a lower low this week, at 83.67, the downtrend on the daily chart seems to be struggling to maintain negative sentiment intraday, with prices beginning to find a range above 84.00. The Rectangle pattern alert on the 240-minute chart shows that volatility has dropped significantly enough to register an Initial Trend of just one bar. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Platinum
autochartist.com - Commodities - 06.09.2010
While Platinum’s daily chart looks to cap off a three-day rally from a previously weak market, it seems the bulls are losing buying momentum and are ready to take some profit as the market closes for the three-day holiday weekend. The 15-minute intraday time frame tells the short-term story: consolidation within an Ascending Triangle, which seems poised to break down through uptrend line support at 1556.3 (X). ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: USD/JPY
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 06.09.2010
On the USD/JPY, the 240-minute time frame could shed some light on the range-bound price action. Despite making a lower low this week, at 83.67, the downtrend on the daily chart seems to be struggling to maintain negative sentiment intraday, with prices beginning to find a range above 84.00. The Rectangle pattern alert on the 240-minute chart shows that volatility has dropped significantly enough to register an Initial Trend of just one bar. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Platinum
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 06.09.2010
While Platinum’s daily chart looks to cap off a three-day rally from a previously weak market, it seems the bulls are losing buying momentum and are ready to take some profit as the market closes for the three-day holiday weekend. The 15-minute intraday time frame tells the short-term story: consolidation within an Ascending Triangle, which seems poised to break down through uptrend line support at 1556.3 (X). ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: USD/CHF
autochartist.com - Forex - 03.09.2010
The downtrend on the USD/CHF continues. Downtrends present three possible entry opportunities: continuation, correction, or reversal. Due to the downtrend’s strength it’s very likely that a continuation and/or a correction (also known as a Retracement) will occur. The decision to focus on more selling pressure comes primarily from the Channel Down pattern alert, though also from the seven-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading that accompanies it. The Initial Trend reading signals that significant bearish momentum remains behind the price action. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Silver
autochartist.com - Commodities - 03.09.2010
After a brief correction lower on August 30, Silver was able to continue its climb higher after buying support was found along 19.33 and prior resistance at 19.52 was broken. The acceleration higher shows that the bulls are ready to challenge the May 13 high—also a one-year high—at 19.84. The momentum that might accompany a break of such a psychological level could attract even more buying momentum. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: USD/CHF
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 03.09.2010
The downtrend on the USD/CHF continues. Downtrends present three possible entry opportunities: continuation, correction, or reversal. Due to the downtrend’s strength it’s very likely that a continuation and/or a correction (also known as a Retracement) will occur. The decision to focus on more selling pressure comes primarily from the Channel Down pattern alert, though also from the seven-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading that accompanies it. The Initial Trend reading signals that significant bearish momentum remains behind the price action. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Silver
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 03.09.2010
After a brief correction lower on August 30, Silver was able to continue its climb higher after buying support was found along 19.33 and prior resistance at 19.52 was broken. The acceleration higher shows that the bulls are ready to challenge the May 13 high—also a one-year high—at 19.84. The momentum that might accompany a break of such a psychological level could attract even more buying momentum. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: AUD/USD
autochartist.com - Forex - 02.09.2010
The AUD/USD rallied from 0.8911 to the current level of 0.9107 by the end of Wednesday’s session. This steep ascent was the result of the Australian Dollar’s strength versus a very weak U.S. Dollar as U.S. equities rallied throughout the trading day.
The Triangle breakout from 0.9020 pushed the AUD/USD higher towards prior resistance at 0.9080; this was quickly broken as the bulls continued to rally the pair through the “big figure” of 0.9100, ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: U.S. Light Crude
autochartist.com - Commodities - 02.09.2010
U.S. Light Crude enjoyed its largest single-day rally since the climb through 80.00 on August 2. While the bulls certainly enjoyed the August 2 move, the rally throughout Wednesday’s session was markedly more important in terms of establishing buying support near the bottom of a large intraday Triangle on the 240-minute time frame. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: AUD/USD
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 02.09.2010
The AUD/USD rallied from 0.8911 to the current level of 0.9107 by the end of Wednesday’s session. This steep ascent was the result of the Australian Dollar’s strength versus a very weak U.S. Dollar as U.S. equities rallied throughout the trading day.
The Triangle breakout from 0.9020 pushed the AUD/USD higher towards prior resistance at 0.9080; this was quickly broken as the bulls continued to rally the pair through the “big figure” of 0.9100, ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: U.S. Light Crude
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 02.09.2010
U.S. Light Crude enjoyed its largest single-day rally since the climb through 80.00 on August 2. While the bulls certainly enjoyed the August 2 move, the rally throughout Wednesday’s session was markedly more important in terms of establishing buying support near the bottom of a large intraday Triangle on the 240-minute time frame. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: EUR/CHF
autochartist.com - Forex - 01.09.2010
The downtrend on the EUR/CHF moved sharply lower today as the Swiss Franc gained against all major currencies—and the downtrend on the EUR/CHF shows how much the Franc continues to gain against the Euro. Negative sentiment is established enough that the bears will wait and sell into any rally. Therefore, identifying resistance levels within the downtrend can help locate short-sell zones (though the pair must first correct higher). ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Gold
autochartist.com - Commodities - 01.09.2010
After a dramatic rally higher, which resulted in a strong intraday uptrend, Gold’s short-term chart looks ready for a correction lower. Small corrections did occur as Gold approached the eventual session high; however, prices were unable to sustain the steep uptrend and the 15-minute time frame now seems ready to roll over. When it comes to reversals however, a sentiment shift must take place in order to get sufficient follow-through: with the Channel Up pattern alert, just such a reversal opportunity may be on the horizon. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: EUR/CHF
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 01.09.2010
The downtrend on the EUR/CHF moved sharply lower today as the Swiss Franc gained against all major currencies—and the downtrend on the EUR/CHF shows how much the Franc continues to gain against the Euro. Negative sentiment is established enough that the bears will wait and sell into any rally. Therefore, identifying resistance levels within the downtrend can help locate short-sell zones (though the pair must first correct higher). ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Gold
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 01.09.2010
After a dramatic rally higher, which resulted in a strong intraday uptrend, Gold’s short-term chart looks ready for a correction lower. Small corrections did occur as Gold approached the eventual session high; however, prices were unable to sustain the steep uptrend and the 15-minute time frame now seems ready to roll over. When it comes to reversals however, a sentiment shift must take place in order to get sufficient follow-through: with the Channel Up pattern alert, just such a reversal opportunity may be on the horizon. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: USD/CAD
autochartist.com - Forex - 31.08.2010
The Forecast area of a Completed Pattern alert is in many ways an extension of the support and resistance found in the patterns themselves. Forecasts offer insight into potential floors and ceilings, which can help identify future trading ranges and exhaustion areas. A pair of current Forecast areas can be seen on the 30-minute chart of the USD/CAD: this pair has been moving higher and lower within a wide, sideways range, exhausting and reversing as prices reach the overbought ceiling and the oversold floor. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: US Light Crude
autochartist.com - Commodities - 31.08.2010
The downtrend on U.S. Light Crude’s 30-minute chart was in large part due to weaker U.S. equities. The Falling Wedge pattern has managed to contain the bearish sentiment with support at 7525 (X). This lower support line could allow the bulls to find some footing, which would in turn cause the bears to take profit; both of the scenarios simultaneously would allow the U.S. Light Crude market to rally. ... mehr
Weekly Forex Update: USD/JPY
autochartist.com - Forex - 31.08.2010
The USD/JPY has stalled at the Falling Wedge pattern’s downtrend line resistance after the emergency meeting by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) failed to create the desired yen weakness. While the BOJ measures were intended to stop the yen’s advance against currencies worldwide, the announcement created nothing more than a quick bounce that traders sold into on the USD/JPY. ... mehr
Weekly Commodities Update: Silver
autochartist.com - Commodities - 31.08.2010
Silver has been moving higher as the bulls try to reach the trading range’s upper levels which have been in place since mid-June. The June highs at 1945 and 1927 have identified the ceiling with which the current push higher must contend. Most recently, Silver peaked near the top of the Autochartist Forecast area at 1935; the same Forecast area has identified a layer of resistance between 1879 and 1935 (F). After breaking higher through the Falling Wedge pattern on the daily time frame at 1810 (E), ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: USD/CAD
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 31.08.2010
The Forecast area of a Completed Pattern alert is in many ways an extension of the support and resistance found in the patterns themselves. Forecasts offer insight into potential floors and ceilings, which can help identify future trading ranges and exhaustion areas. A pair of current Forecast areas can be seen on the 30-minute chart of the USD/CAD: this pair has been moving higher and lower within a wide, sideways range, exhausting and reversing as prices reach the overbought ceiling and the oversold floor. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: US Light Crude
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 31.08.2010
The downtrend on U.S. Light Crude’s 30-minute chart was in large part due to weaker U.S. equities. The Falling Wedge pattern has managed to contain the bearish sentiment with support at 7525 (X). This lower support line could allow the bulls to find some footing, which would in turn cause the bears to take profit; both of the scenarios simultaneously would allow the U.S. Light Crude market to rally. ... mehr
Weekly Forex Update: USD/JPY
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 31.08.2010
The USD/JPY has stalled at the Falling Wedge pattern’s downtrend line resistance after the emergency meeting by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) failed to create the desired yen weakness. While the BOJ measures were intended to stop the yen’s advance against currencies worldwide, the announcement created nothing more than a quick bounce that traders sold into on the USD/JPY. ... mehr
Weekly Commodities Update: Silver
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 31.08.2010
Silver has been moving higher as the bulls try to reach the trading range’s upper levels which have been in place since mid-June. The June highs at 1945 and 1927 have identified the ceiling with which the current push higher must contend. Most recently, Silver peaked near the top of the Autochartist Forecast area at 1935; the same Forecast area has identified a layer of resistance between 1879 and 1935 (F). After breaking higher through the Falling Wedge pattern on the daily time frame at 1810 (E), ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: USD/CAD
autochartist.com - Forex - 30.08.2010
The rollover on the USD/CAD’s 240-minute chart has finally been confirmed, with bears pushing prices lower through the Rising Wedge pattern’s uptrend line support. Since the rejection along 1.0650 and the drop lower through 1.0600 there has been a slow but steady shift in the bullish sentiment of the USD/CAD. The Rising Wedge has triggered a pattern reversal at 1.0580 (X). The low, one-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading confirms that the previous uptrend within the Rising Wedge stalled into a narrow, ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Silver
autochartist.com - Commodities - 30.08.2010
Silver’s intraday climb is losing buying momentum due both to sellers waiting just above 1900 putting pressure on the rally and the profit-taking from short-term bulls prior to the markets closing for the weekend. Prices on the 60-minute chart are perched just above uptrend line support of the Channel Up pattern at 1900.80 (X). These ten ticks around the 1900 price level hold the key to whether we see a continuation or a reversal of both the pattern and the intraday trend. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: USD/CAD
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 30.08.2010
The rollover on the USD/CAD’s 240-minute chart has finally been confirmed, with bears pushing prices lower through the Rising Wedge pattern’s uptrend line support. Since the rejection along 1.0650 and the drop lower through 1.0600 there has been a slow but steady shift in the bullish sentiment of the USD/CAD. The Rising Wedge has triggered a pattern reversal at 1.0580 (X). The low, one-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading confirms that the previous uptrend within the Rising Wedge stalled into a narrow, ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Silver
autochartist.com - ltfutures - 30.08.2010
Silver’s intraday climb is losing buying momentum due both to sellers waiting just above 1900 putting pressure on the rally and the profit-taking from short-term bulls prior to the markets closing for the weekend. Prices on the 60-minute chart are perched just above uptrend line support of the Channel Up pattern at 1900.80 (X). These ten ticks around the 1900 price level hold the key to whether we see a continuation or a reversal of both the pattern and the intraday trend. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: GBP/USD
autochartist.com - Forex - 27.08.2010
The uptrend on the 60-minute chart of the GBP/USD has lost bullish momentum over the past 35 candles; subsequently, what was initially a correction to Channel Up support has now transitioned to a pattern reversal. The question now is: what is the likelihood for follow-through considering the weaker U.S. Dollar and Friday’s U.K. Revised Gross Domestic Product (GDP) release? The uptrend line breakdown down signals a bearish shift. However, with the near-term low at 1.5505 being so close to the reversal, ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Gold
autochartist.com - Commodities - 27.08.2010
Traders should consider multiple patterns and time frames before entering a trade. Comparing the key levels that appear when there are multiple and overlapping alerts can unveil powerful entry options for both sides of the market. At key price levels, market sentiment will be expected to accerlerate, stall or reverse; these key price levels are commonly found within chart patterns.
Gold’s 30-minute chart has been in a shallow downtrend that has recently lost much of its bearish momentum (as confirmed by the one-bar Autochartist Initial Trend reading). ... mehr
Aktuelle Kolumnen & Analysen
Bonds Weekly: Bund-Future leitet Seitwärtsbewegung ein - „Beige Book“ bestätigt moderates Wachstum in den USA
Börse Stuttgart - Bonds - 10.09.2010
Rentenreport der Börse Stuttgart KW 36 (06.09. bis 10.09.2010)
Wie in der Vorwoche haben in den vergangenen Tagen über den Erwartungen liegende Konjunkturdaten aus den USA für einen zunehmenden Geldstrom in die Aktienmärkte gesorgt. Der Bund-Future konsolidiert deshalb auf hohem Niveau.
Aufgrund des Feiertages "Labor Day" blieben die US-Börsen am Montag geschlossen. Deshalb plätscherte auch der Handel in Europa ruhig dahin. ... mehr
Euwax-Trends am Nachmittag: Gerüchte belasten Deutsche-Bank-Aktie - Börsianer spekulieren über milliardenschwere Kapitalerhöhung
Börse Stuttgart - Indizes - 10.09.2010
Deutliche Kursverluste der Deutsche-Bank-Aktie zogen heute auch den DAX nach unten. Das deutsche Börsenbarometer notierte am Nachmittag bei 6.200 Zählern mit 0,3 Prozent im Minus. Entscheidende Konjunkturdaten stehen heute nicht mehr auf dem Programm.
Kurzfristig orientierte Derivateanleger agierten sehr zurückhaltend. Der Euwax Sentiment Index pendelte bei vergleichsweise niedrigen Umsätzen im Bereich der Nulllinie. ... mehr
Anleihen: Abwärtstrend der Bund-Renditen gebrochen
Börse Frankfurt - Bonds - 10.09.2010
Marktbericht vom Rentenhandel
10. September 2010. FRANKFURT (Börse Frankfurt). Von einer „sehr bewegten Woche“ spricht ein Händler der Hellwig Wertpapierhandelsbank. Die Risikoprämien für Staatspapiere einiger EU-Peripherieländer waren zwischenzeitlich heftig gestiegen. Plötzlich hätten Anleger ihr Augenmerk wieder auf die Gefahren der überbordenden Verschuldung gerichtet, erläutert Klaus Stopp von der Baader Bank. Auslöser war die avisierte Abwicklung der verstaatlichten Anglo Irish Bank Anfang der Woche, wie er ausführt. ... mehr
Hüfners Wochenkommentar: Angst vor der Konjunktur in Amerika?
Börse Frankfurt - Indizes - 10.09.2010
10. September 2010. FRANKFURT (Börse Frankfurt). Keiner traut dem Frieden mit der Konjunktur. Das zweite Quartal war in puncto Wachstum in Europa zwar gut (+ 4 % Jahresrate), aber die meisten haben Angst, dass sich dies nicht so fortsetzt. Sie schauen auf die USA, wo die Wirtschaft eher dahin dümpelt. Sie beobachten die Befürchtungen einer neuen Rezession. Und sie sehen die schwächere Wall Street und die Deflationssorgen an den US-Bond-Märkten. Wird der Euroraum nicht früher oder später doch von der größten Volkswirtschaft der Welt nach unten gezogen? ... mehr
The Energy Report - The Buck stops
Phil Flynn I PFGBEST - Commodities - 10.09.2010
President Truman used to have a sigh on his desk that the buck stops here. President Obama should have one that says the buck stops with the last administration. If you are going to solve the problem you have to admit you have a problem yet the entire Democratic Party is lost in this sense of what I would call arrogant denial. In fact in some cases it is downright scary. Did anyone see that interview with Harry Reid that sad that he had nothing to do with the bad economy? ... mehr
The Nemenoff Report - Bonds Lower, S&P's Higher, Silver Higher
Marc Nemenoff I PRICE Group - Commodities - 10.09.2010
Financials: Dec. Bonds are currently 13 lower at 130’06. This market is now below last Friday’s low after the Jobs Report. Technically the next level of support is the 129’22 level, a level where I will be willing to try the long side of the market for short a term trade. For the near term resistance is currently the 131’15 level. Keep in mind the yield for the 30 Yr. Bond is still below the 4% level and the 10 Yr. Note below the 3% level. Just an aside from what I’ve been hearing “on the street”, a Republican victory in mid-term elections will be bullish for stocks and bearish for Bonds. ... mehr
Daily Commodities Update: Gold
autochartist.com - Commodities - 10.09.2010
With the 30-minute chart of Gold currently in distribution, confirmed by the four-bar Initial Trend reading, expect exhaustion at the 1250 level. The Channel Down pattern alert is indicating that there will be selling pressure waiting at the upper line of the pattern. The overall trend has been down, despite the recent move higher from 1243, and because prices have not yet been able to rally higher through the resistance of the Channel Down, there is still a bearish trend in intraday Gold. ... mehr
Daily Forex Update: AUD/USD
autochartist.com - Forex - 10.09.2010
The 15-minute AUD/USD is still maintaining a slight bullish sentiment as prices on the daily chart test the highs from May. The intraday rally is still maintaining enough buying support to remain above 0.9200 which was tested during the middle of the Friday Asian trading session. Look for the 15-minute Rising Wedge reversal to be bought into after the initial drop and at the Autochartist Forecast between 0.9235 and 0.9222. The short-term intraday uptrend will continue if the top of the Forecast region turns out to be an area of support. ... mehr
Leichte Kursverluste am deutschen Aktienmarkt
X-Trade Brokers - Indizes - 10.09.2010
Auf dem deutschen Aktienmarkt verzeichnet der DAX zur Mittagsstunde leichte Kursverluste. Demnach gibt der Leitindex gegen 13:15 Uhr um knapp 0,4 Prozent auf einen Stand von exakt 6.200 Punkten nach. Ursache für die leicht negative Tendenz sind vor allem die Kursverluste der Anteilsscheine der Deutschen Bank, welche zum selben Zeitpunkt ein deutliches Kursminus von 4,9 Prozent verzeichnen. Medienberichten zufolge plant die Frankfurter Großbank schon in der kommenden Woche eine Kapitalerhöhung im Umfang von 8 bis 9 Milliarden Euro. Dies lässt Spekulationen offen wofür die Bank das Geld benötigt. ... mehr
Bond Market Perspectives - USA - 10. September
HSH Nordbank Research - Bonds - 10.09.2010
Mit den näher rückenden mid term elections steigt die Nervosität der Demokraten. Selbst der etwas besser als erwartet ausgefallene Arbeitsmarktbericht sowie die Korrektur der Vormonatswerte hin zum Besseren haben keinen Optimismus aufkommen lassen, denn die Zahl der neu geschaffenen Stellen im privaten Sektor reicht bei weitem nicht aus, um die Arbeitslosenrate zurückzuführen. So fürchten die Demokraten, glaubt man den zahlreichen Meinungsumfragen, ihre Mehrheiten im Senat und im Repräsentantenhaus zu verlieren. ... mehr
